· The Huddersfield housing market
over the last five years has behaved oddly.
·
Huddersfield house prices are 34.4% higher than in 2017, even though
during those five years, the British economy had the uncertainty of Brexit and
the massive fall in GDP during the pandemic.
·
Yet, a less observed trend is that the net number of homeowners in Huddersfield
has risen by 3,332 households, a jump of 3.7%.
·
Why has growth in homeownership happened, and what does it mean for Huddersfield's
existing homeowners (and landlords)?
With the newspapers full of news about the death of
homeownership and the growth in Generation Rent, it must surprise many (as it
did with me) that the number of homeowners in Huddersfield has grown.
To give some context…
the number
of homeowners in Huddersfield dropped between 2011 and 2017 by 339 households,
yet between 2017 and 2021, that grew by 3,332 households.
So, what is behind this growth in homeownership and
is it a good thing?
Politicians love it when homeownership rises, as
they believe owning a house turns individuals into model upright citizens. It
was one of the critical reasons for the council house sell-off in the 1980s.
Yet the hard data to back this up is unexpectedly
slim, whilst other studies hint that homeownership has some harmful costs to
the economy, such as reduced entrepreneurial spirit and the disinclination to
move home to find work.
However, increasing homeownership may be a good
foundation for Britain’s economic recovery after the last few years. Homeowners
have a greater propensity to live in single-family unit homes like townhouses
and semi-detached houses.
A greater demand for more single-use homes supports
the construction of such dwellings (instead of other types such as small
apartment blocks or Homes of Multiple Occupation). This is important because
single-family unit homes tend to be better build quality, have more extensive
gardens, and have more local amenities.
So, what are the sort of numbers I am talking about
in Huddersfield?
In 2017,
there were 43,405 Huddersfield owner-occupied homes.
By 2021,
this had grown to 46,737 Huddersfield homes.
This means
homeownership in Huddersfield has risen from 60.65% of the households in Huddersfield
in 2017 to 62.88% in 2021, a proportional increase of 3.7%.
So, what is behind
this growth in homeownership?
1. 95% mortgages have been readily available at low-interest rates now for
over a decade. In 2017, first-time buyers also got an exemption from stamp
duty. This created a perfect storm of demand, which caused the number of Huddersfield
first-time buyers to rise.
2. Whilst the rise in homeownership in Huddersfield precedes the pandemic
by a couple of years, another factor to the growth relates to the last property
market recession of 2008/9 (the Credit Crunch). Between 2009 and 2012, many Huddersfield
homeowners found themselves unemployed and still had to pay mortgages at 6% to
8%. Some homes were repossessed or some had to sell their home at a low price
to unshackle themselves from their high mortgage costs. This development,
nevertheless, took many agonising years to play out, reducing the homeownership
until the middle of the last decade.
3. People’s views on the way they live have altered during the lockdowns.
In a sphere of stay-at-home instructions and social distancing, the peace of
mind of homeownership gives Huddersfield homeowners the security of tenure.
4. Finally, there has been a long-term change in the demographics of the
UK. Millennials (currently aged between 26 and 41) are less likely to be
homeowners than their Baby Boomer parents were at the same age. Yet, the
British millennial generation is now entering its prime home-buying period as
they have saved their deposit and are more likely to inherit money from their
grandparents. (The average age of a first-time home-buyer in the UK is 33
compared to 26 in the mid-1990s).
So, the final
question has to be…
how much further could homeownership go in Huddersfield?
The biggest hurdle
could prove to be the supply of available homes.
Many 'accidental
landlords' have been selling their properties recently, which first-time buyers
have bought. Accidental landlords put their own homes up for rent in the early
to mid-2010’s because they could not sell. Now they have been motivated to cash
in on the higher Huddersfield house prices in the last couple of years, which
increased the supply of properties to buy for owner-occupation.
Also, the number of houses on the
market in the UK available to buy has increased from existing owner-occupiers.
In December 2021, there were 355,700 properties for sale yet by March
2022, that had risen to 431,000. This is giving greater confidence to other Huddersfield
homeowners too scared to put their homes up for sale because they are concerned
they would to not be able to find anything else. Things are starting to change
in that regard.
Also, there are
signs of a recovery in British new home building as the number of new housing
starts in 2021 hit the highest level since the financial crisis of 2007. Yet
with a steady increase in Huddersfield landlords returning to the market in the
last few months, this tide will turn.
Huddersfield’s
homeownership could continue to swell for a while yet!
P.S. What does
this mean to the private rented sector in Huddersfield? Come back next week as
I give some fantastic insights every Huddersfield landlord will want to read to
ensure they remain profitable in the Huddersfield buy-to-let market.