I am genuinely concerned about the Huddersfield
property market, but in a way that might surprise you. Rightmove announced that average ‘asking
prices’ fell slightly last month by 0.8% in the Yorkshire
region, leaving them 2.0% higher than a year ago. Whilst it could be said that monthly change
is very modest, in the same period a year ago, we saw a monthly fall of 0.5% in
Yorkshire, which is more the norm given the onset of schools breaking up and everyone going on
holiday.
Looking at all the data on the Huddersfield property market;
putting aside the need for more houses to be built in the next decade to
balance out the increase in population (helped in part by inward European
migration) but not matched by a similar increase in housing being built; my
research shows there is a widening gap between what property buyers want and
what is available to buy. In a nutshell, many more buyers are looking for the
smaller one and two bed properties (the typical semi detached and smaller
terraced houses/apartments), whilst there is an oversupply of the four and five
bed properties, which are the typical large detached properties available.
If you recall, a few weeks ago I did some research on how
different types of properties had performed in Huddersfield
since the year 2000. I revisited those
calculations and it hit me how different types of properties had performed over
the last 15 years. In a nutshell, this
mismatch of demand and supply isn’t a new phenomenon, it’s been happening under
our noses for years!
In the last 15 years, the average detached house in Huddersfield has risen in value from £101,882
to £244,100 whilst the terraced house has risen in value from £30,770
to £93,238. Nothing seems
amiss until you look at the percentage growth.
The detached has grown in value by 139% whilst the terraced by 203%
meaning the gap between the inexpensive terraced house and expensive detached
properties has in percentage terms has decreased.
I am concerned because more houses need to be built, not
only in Huddersfield , but in Yorkshire
and the UK as a whole. In particular, there is specific need for
more affordable starter homes for the growing demand from both tenants (and the
landlords that will buy them) and first time buyers. The Tories need to face up to the fact that
unless they can get the builders, the planners (to release more building land),
the banks (to finance it) and themselves together, to ensure long term plans
can be made, and implemented, this issue will continue to worsen.
The country needs 200,000 houses a year to be built to keep
up with demand, let alone reverse the imbalance between demand and supply. Last year, only 141,040 properties were
built, the year before 135,510 and 146,850 in the year before that. This means only one thing for Huddersfield landlords.
Unless David Cameron starts to rip up huge swathes of the British
countryside and build on acres and acres of green belt, demand will always
exceed supply when it comes to property for the foreseeable future.
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