April Fools Day was no joke for
some landlords, as they rushed their buy to let property purchases throughout
late March to beat the extra 3% stamp duty George Osborne imposed on buy to let
properties after the 31st March 2016. Because some investors brought
forward their 2016 property purchases to save the extra tax, speaking to fellow
property professionals in Huddersfield, all of us have noticed, since the
clocks went forward, demand to buy in April and May from these landlords has
eased.
Then we have the Brexit issue, which is also having a
tempering effect on the Huddersfield property market – although if you recall I
wrote about this a few weeks ago, and whilst an exit will have an effect – it
won’t be the end of the world scenario some commentators are suggesting. In
another article I wrote previously, I spoke of the growth rate of Huddersfield property
values, and whilst the rate of growth is slowing, Huddersfield property values are
still 1.3% higher year on year, albeit the growth rate month on month has
started to moderate when compared to the heady days of month on month rises of 2014
and 2015. Interestingly though, a very recent members survey of the Royal Institution
of Chartered Surveyors states that only 17% of members believed property values
would increase over the next Quarter compared to 44% at the end of 2015.
All this had led to increase in the number of properties for
sale. For example in the HD2 postcode, which mainly comprises of Birkby,
Brackenhall, Bradley, Deighton, Fartown, Fixby and Sheepridge, there were 224 properties for sale in the postcode in
December (of which 22 came on to the market for the first time). In January,
February and March, 142 properties came onto the market in the postcode
district (or an average of 47 per month), meaning by end of the first Quarter,
there were 251 properties available for homeowners and landlords alike to buy
in HD2 (i.e. a rise of 12% more
properties for sale). These figures are mirrored in neighbouring postcodes
throughout the Huddersfield area.
Nevertheless, I believe this easing of the Huddersfield
property market is a good thing, as investment landlords wont have to pay top
dollar to secure a property because of the lower competition. On the face of
it, this easing should be bad news for the 107,657 Huddersfield homeowners, but
nothing could be further from the truth. The majority of homeowners that move,
move up market, (i.e. from a flat to
terrace/town house, then a semi and then detached), so whilst last year you
would have achieved a top dollar figure for your property, you would would have
had to have paid an even higher top dollar to secure the one you wanted to buy.
The Swings and Roundabouts of the Huddersfield
Property Market!
However, all the signals suggest that whatever the aftermath
of the approaching EU referendum, in the long term, the disparity between
demand for Huddersfield property and the supply (i.e. the number of actual
properties) will still exercise a sturdy and definitive influence on the Huddersfield
property market. It would surprise me that if by 2021, whichever way we vote in
late June, assuming we don’t have another credit crunch or issues like a major
world conflict, property prices will be between 15% to 18% higher than they are
today.
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