Let me speak
frankly, even with Brexit and the fact immigration numbers will now be reduced
in the coming years, there is an unending and severe shortage of new housing
being built in the Huddersfield area (and the UK as a whole). Even if
there are short term confidence trembles fueled by newspapers hungry for bad
news, the ever growing population of Huddersfield with its high demand for
property versus curtailed supply of properties being built, this imbalance of
supply/demand and the possibility of even lower interest rates will underpin
the property market.
When the Tories
were elected in 2015, Mr. Cameron vowed to build 1,000,000 new homes by
2020. If we as a Country hit those levels of building, most academics
stated the UK Housing market would balance itself as the increased supply of
property would give a chance for the younger generation to buy their own home
as opposed to rent. However, the up-to-date building figures show that in
the first three months of 2016 building starts were down. Nationally,
there were 35,530 house building starts in the first quarter, a long way off
the 50,000 a quarter required to hit those ambitious targets.
Looking closer to
home, over the last 12 months, new building in the Kirklees Council area has
grown. In 2014/15, for every one thousand existing households in the
area, an additional 2.03 homes were built. For 2015/16, that figure is
now 2.51 homes built per thousand existing households. Nationally, to
meet that 1,000,000 new homes target, we need to be at 7.12 new homes per
thousand.
To put those
numbers into real chimney pots, over the last 12 months, in the Kirklees
Council area,
·
450 Private Builders (e.g. New Homes
Builders)
·
Nil Housing Association
·
Nil Local Authority
These new house
building numbers are down to the fact that not enough is being done to fix the
broken Huddersfield housing market. We are still only seeing 450 new
homes being built per year in the Kirklees Council area, when we need 1,276 a
year to even stand still!
I am of the
opinion Messer’s Cameron and Osborne focused their attention too much on the
demand side of the housing equation, using the Help to Buy scheme and low deposit
mortgages to convert the ‘Generation Rent’ i.e. Huddersfield ‘20 somethings’
who are set to rent for the rest of their lives to ‘Generation Buy’. On
the other side of the coin, I would strongly recommend the new Housing Minster,
Gavin Barwell, should concentrate the Government’s efforts on the supply side
of the equation. There needs to be transformations to planning laws,
massive scale releases of public land and more investment, as more inventive
solutions are needed.
However,
ultimately, responsibility has to rest on the shoulders of Theresa May.
Whilst our new PM has many plates to spin, evading on the housing crisis will
only come at greater cost later on. What a legacy it would be if it was
Mrs. May who finally got to grips with the persistent and enduring shortage of
homes to live in. The PM has already referenced the ‘need to do far more
to get more houses built’ and stop the decline of home ownership.
However, she has also ruled out any changes to the green belt policy – something
I will talk about in a future up and coming article. Hopefully these
statistics will raise the alarm bells again and persuade both residents and
Councilor’s in the Kirklees Council area that housing needs to be higher on its
agenda.
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