Huddersfield
homeowners will be among those affected by the latest rise in the Bank of
England interest rates. The first increase in 10 years; they have just been
raised from 0.25 percent to 0.5 per cent. This uplift comes as inflation hits a
51-month high of 2.9 per cent whilst the national unemployment rate is at an
all-time low of 4.3 per cent.
Interestingly,
the Governor of the Bank of England has indicated that the interest rate is
likely to increase again over the next couple of years, but Mr Carney said mortgages
and savings would not be affected in the short term. However, look at all the
big banks and just about all of them have increased their standard variable
mortgage rate..
The average Huddersfield
mortgage is £72,245
I have to
ask by how much Huddersfield homeowners (on variable rate or tracker mortgages)
will see their repayments increase?
In the HD1
- HD9 postcodes there are 39,062 homeowners with a mortgage, of which 16,781
have a variable rate mortgage (the remaining have fixed rate mortgages). The
total amount owed by those HD1 - HD9 homeowners with those variable rate
mortgages is £1,212,340,517, meaning the average monthly mortgage payment for
those home owners on variable rate mortgages before the interest rate rise was £563.31
per month and now its £578.36 per month … meaning
The interest
rate rise will cost Huddersfield
homeowners on
average an extra £180.61 per year
Whilst this
is the first raise in interest rates in over 10 years, it must be noted it is
at a significantly low level compared to figures in the 1970s and early 1990s. Many
of my readers talk of interest rates at 17 per cent when Sir Geoffrey Howe
increased them to try and combat the hyperinflation (from the fallout of the
financial crisis that hit Britain in the 1970’s) and Norman Lamont in September
1992 with the infamous Black Wednesday crisis, when interest rates were raised
from 10% to 15% in just one day.
So,
what will this interest rate actually do to the Huddersfield housing market?
Well,
if I’m being frank – not a great deal. The proportion of Huddersfield homeowners with variable
rate mortgages (and thus directly affected by a Bank of England rate rise) will
be smaller than in the past, in part because the vast majority of new mortgages
in recent years were taken on fixed interest rates. The proportion of outstanding
mortgages on variable rates has fallen to a record low of 42.3 per cent, down
from a peak of 72.9 per cent in the autumn of 2011.
If more Huddersfield people are protected
from interest rate rises, because they are on a fixed rate mortgage, then there
is less chance of those Huddersfield people having to sell their Huddersfield
properties because they can’t afford the monthly repayments or even worse case
scenario, have them repossessed.
However, and this will be of interest
to both Huddersfield homeowners and Huddersfield buy to let landlords …
.. for every 1%
increase in the Bank of England interest rate, it will cost the average Huddersfield
homeowner on a variable rate mortgage £60.20 per month
So, what
next? Because UK inflation levels are at 2.9 per cent (the country’s highest
rate since April 2012) and the Bank of England is tasked by HM Government to
keep inflation at 2 per cent using various monetary tools (one of which is
interest rates) – you can see why interest rate rises might be on the cards in
the future as increasing interest rates tends to dampen inflation.
Now of
course there is a certain amount of uncertainty with regard to Brexit and the
negotiations thereof, but fundamentally the British economy is in decent shape.
People will always need housing and as we aren’t building enough houses (as I have
mentioned many times in the Huddersfield Property Blog), we might see a slight
dip in prices in the short term, but in the medium to long term, the Huddersfield
property market will always remain strong for both Huddersfield homeowners and Huddersfield
landlords alike.
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