It’s now commonly agreed
amongst economists and the general public that the dramatic rise in Huddersfield
property prices of the last six years has come to an end.
Read the National newspapers,
and they talk of doom and gloom in the British housing market with such things
as strained buyer affordability (as property prices have increased over the
past six years at a far faster pace than average salaries), a lack of new
properties being built and the Brexit uncertainties over the last two and half
years being blamed for the slow down - yet in the last 12 months, people have
still been moving, buying and selling in Huddersfield at levels similar to the
last six years - something tells me we have a case of ‘bad news selling
newspapers’.
So instead, let me share with you what, exactly, is happening in
the Huddersfield property market, and more specifically, who is moving and why
in Huddersfield. Most of the sales in
Huddersfield over the past twelve months were terraced properties, which on
average sold for £120,800. Semi-detached properties had an average sold price
of £163,200 and detached properties averaged at £290,400.
In Huddersfield,
in the homeowner sector in 2018 (i.e.
owner occupation), 1,009 households moved within the tenure (i.e. sold the home they owned and bought
another one) and 196 new households were created (i.e. they moved from living with family/friends and bought their first
home without privately renting).
Huddersfield Home Movers in 2018
|
|
Moved from Owner Occupation to Private Rented
|
370
|
Moved from Private Rented to Owner Occupation
|
469
|
Owner Occupation to Social Housing
|
50
|
Straight to Owner Occupation
|
196
|
Left Owner Occupation (i.e. Household Ended)
|
243
|
Owner Occupation to Owner Occupation
|
1009
|
What does this mean for Huddersfield buy to let landlords? Well
looking at the graph, it appears bad news for landlords. There were 469
households that moved into the home owning (owner occupation) tenure from the
private rented sector, whilst on the other side of the coin, 370 Huddersfield
households moved to the private rented sector from owner occupation … which
appears on the face of it, a reduction in the private sector.
My research has
calculated that in 2018, an additional 489 new households in the Huddersfield
private rental sector were created
...and it will continue to grow at those levels for the
foreseeable future.
So, whatever is happening in the world with Brexit, Trump,
China, and the Stock Market … the Huddersfield housing market is in decent
shape for the medium to long term. If we do have small corrections in values in
the next 12 to 18 months, in the long term, house prices have always returned
... and returned with vengeance. Like I say to anyone buying a property, be
they a first time buyer, landlord or homeowner ... property is a long game ...
and if you play the long game, you will always win (although isn’t that true in
most aspects of life?).
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