With the banks reducing the number of low deposit mortgages (i.e. deposit of 10% and below) since Covid-19 hit in the spring, this has meant that the number of Brighouse first-time buyers has been decreasing quickly, meaning many of those would-be Brighouse buyers wanting to make the first step on the Brighouse property ladder will stay in the Brighouse rental sector.
This has caused
demand to grow amongst Brighouse renters
for larger homes to ride out Covid, as they hunker down for the long haul to
wait for normality to return to the property market. This has caused
Brighouse
rents to rise from £500 to the current £517 per month over the last 12 months,
an increase of 3.5%.
Interestingly, the opposite is happening in Central London, where
the rents tenants are having to pay have dropped by 3.8% in the last 12 months,
as demand has dropped like a stone. It appears Central London tenants are
looking to move out to the suburbs, in search of bigger homes, gardens and
green open spaces. For example, the average rent for a 1-bed apartment in St.
John’s Wood currently stands at a very reasonable £1,817 per month whilst a
2-bed apartment in Kensington and Chelsea is currently at an average bargain
rent of £3,715 per month (yes, they might be low compared to last year, yet
for us in Brighouse, that still seems like a lot of money!). Also, there
has been further downward pressure on Central London rents, as many Airbnb
landlords have dumped their short-term holiday let properties onto the long-term
rental market as the tourism in the capital has dwindled because of the pandemic.
This has
been the sharpest drop in Central London rents since the summer of 2009, when
the property market was still stumbling from the Credit Crunch.
This means
there is a reverse of the trend of the 2010’s (2010 to 2018 to be exact), when initially
the London property market was shooting up whilst the rest of the country was in
the doldrums. Then, when the rest of the UK did start to rise slowly in 2013,
London kicked on even further like a rocket … yet now it appears the opposite
is happening.
Getting
back to Brighouse, according to the Land Registry property values currently
stand 2.2% higher than a year ago; this is split down as follows:
·
Detached Brighouse homes 2.8% higher
·
Semi-detached Brighouse homes 3.4% higher
·
Townhouse/terraced Brighouse homes 2.1% higher
·
Brighouse apartments/flats 1.8% lower
Yet, do
remember, these figures do NOT take into account the prices paid by
desperate Brighouse buyers this summer, often paying top dollar to secure the
property. This will only filter through in the figures released in the spring.
So, why are the banks curtailing the number of low deposit
mortgages, meaning that first-time buyers must find a much larger down payment
before they are able to buy their first Brighouse property?
The reason is the banks are fearful of a house price crash in 2021
(although if you recall I wrote about that a few weeks ago and the reasons why
that is less likely to happen). They too are afraid of the frothy nature of the
property market since the end of the first lockdown in late spring. The bank is
lending its own money to buyers and no mortgage lender wants to be holding an
enormous amount of these types of high percentage mortgages if house prices fall
in 2021, because the bank would be saddled with negative equity and
repossession on their hands (and we all know what that did to the housing
market in the late 1980’s and early 1990’s as repossessions rocketed).
This can quite clearly be seen in the pricing and availability of
low deposit mortgages. As the Bank of England has reduced its base rate to
0.1%, in the last 12 months 10% deposit mortgages rates have actually increased
from 2% to 2.8%. Also, when lenders have been offering 10% mortgages throughout
the summer, borrowers have had only a 24-hour window to commit before the lender
withdraws the mortgage product from the market because of over subscription. As
with all economics, if demand is greater than supply, the price goes up. That extra
0.8% doesn’t sound a lot until you realise a first-time buyer would have to pay
an additional £167 per month in interest payments on a 10% deposit mortgage,
assuming they borrowed £250,000.
However, it’s not all doom and gloom for first-time buyers as there
are embryonic signs that the 10% deposit mortgage market could gradually be
returning to normal, as I have recently heard some lenders taking up to a week
for their 10% deposit mortgage offers to run out. Fingers crossed!
So, what does all this mean for Brighouse landlords? Those Brighouse
landlords with properties with gardens and larger rooms will be seeing
increased demand. The ability to have pets in the rental property is also an
advantage, and depending on the property, can add a decent premium to the rent
that can be charged.
One final thought though for all homebuyers in Brighouse, be aware
it’s going to be very challenging to get your house purchase through in time to
meet the 31st March 2021 stamp duty holiday cut off if you are
starting the process in November. Make sure your lender and solicitor have the
capacity to meet that deadline and when you are asked for information, you drop
everything to provide it. The odd days’ delay here and there will mean the
difference between you getting the keys for your new Brighouse home before the
end of March 2021 and saving thousands of pounds in Stamp Duty Tax … or feeling
a fool from the 1st April 2021 and having to pay the tax!
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