Thursday, 20 August 2015

My concerns about the Huddersfield Property market

I am genuinely concerned about the Huddersfield property market, but in a way that might surprise you.  Rightmove announced that average ‘asking prices’ fell slightly last month by 0.8% in the Yorkshire region, leaving them 2.0% higher than a year ago.  Whilst it could be said that monthly change is very modest, in the same period a year ago, we saw a monthly fall of 0.5% in Yorkshire, which is more the norm given the onset of  schools breaking up and everyone going on holiday.

Looking at all the data on the Huddersfield property market; putting aside the need for more houses to be built in the next decade to balance out the increase in population (helped in part by inward European migration) but not matched by a similar increase in housing being built; my research shows there is a widening gap between what property buyers want and what is available to buy. In a nutshell, many more buyers are looking for the smaller one and two bed properties (the typical semi detached and smaller terraced houses/apartments), whilst there is an oversupply of the four and five bed properties, which are the typical large detached properties available.

 Demand for smaller properties comes from both first time buyers and the growing number of buy to let landlords, where it is more cost effective and efficient to buy smaller properties to let out compared to larger properties which tend to offer poorer returns.  Also, landlords with larger loans (on those larger more expensive properties) will also be hit harder with the changes in the way tax is paid on buy to let investments, which start in 2017.

If you recall, a few weeks ago I did some research on how different types of properties had performed in Huddersfield since the year 2000.  I revisited those calculations and it hit me how different types of properties had performed over the last 15 years.  In a nutshell, this mismatch of demand and supply isn’t a new phenomenon, it’s been happening under our noses for years!

In the last 15 years, the average detached house in Huddersfield has risen in value from £101,882 to £244,100 whilst the terraced house has risen in value from £30,770 to £93,238.  Nothing seems amiss until you look at the percentage growth.  The detached has grown in value by 139% whilst the terraced by 203% meaning the gap between the inexpensive terraced house and expensive detached properties has in percentage terms has decreased.

I am concerned because more houses need to be built, not only in Huddersfield, but in Yorkshire and the UK as a whole.  In particular, there is specific need for more affordable starter homes for the growing demand from both tenants (and the landlords that will buy them) and first time buyers.  The Tories need to face up to the fact that unless they can get the builders, the planners (to release more building land), the banks (to finance it) and themselves together, to ensure long term plans can be made, and implemented, this issue will continue to worsen.

The country needs 200,000 houses a year to be built to keep up with demand, let alone reverse the imbalance between demand and supply.  Last year, only 141,040 properties were built, the year before 135,510 and 146,850 in the year before that.  This means only one thing for Huddersfield landlords.  Unless David Cameron starts to rip up huge swathes of the British countryside and build on acres and acres of green belt, demand will always exceed supply when it comes to property for the foreseeable future.

 Therefore, investment in the local Huddersfield property market as a buy to let investment could be the best move to make as the stock market investments are possibly on the wane.  Everyone is different and trust me, there are many pitfalls in buy to let.  You must take lots of advice and seek out the best opinion.  One source of opinion, specific to the Huddersfield property market is the Huddersfield Property Blog  http://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/

Friday, 14 August 2015

Huddersfield Property Values 3% higher than year ago

Huddersfield property values fell by 1.2% last month, meaning they are 3% higher than 12 months ago. Even though values dropped slightly, overall, I expect future property price growth to remain firm, built on the foundations of an improving labour market, strengthening economy and very low mortgage rates. In fact, talking to a number of other agents in the city, mortgage arrangers and solicitors (all of whom have their direct finger on the pulse of the Huddersfield property market), the steady long term growth in Huddersfield property prices tied in by strong demand conditions so far this summer, alongside an underlying lack of supply and the continued low mortgage rate environment, means the slow but steady upward momentum of the Huddersfield property market is likely to continue in the second half of 2015.

 However, there are a couple points I wish to highlight as all my blog readers will know, I like to give a balanced and honest opinion of what is happening in the Huddersfield property market.  The two main points being low interest rates and a lack of supply of property.

Interest rates first -  Mark Carney (Chief of the Bank of England) said in a  speech a  few weeks ago at Lincoln Cathedral, the Bank will be seriously considering raising interest rates around Christmas time. An upward movement in interest rates will temper demand and result in a marked slowdown in house price growth.  Mr Carney said that only six out of ten people had a mortgage (57% to exact) had a variable rate mortgage, compared with more than seven out of ten people  ( 73% to be exact) in the Summer of 2012. Now I am not a mortgage arranger and cannot give advice, but rates are only going on one direction, so whether you are a landlord or homeowner, this might be a time to consider fixing your mortgage rate?  Don’t say I didn’t warn you!

Tie this in with the stricter mortgage lending rules which were introduced in 2014, which affected people’s ability to have larger mortgages, this means homeowners will need to be realistic in their pricing if they want to sell. Reading other recent reports though, property owners have continued to pay off mortgages at a faster rate while mortgage rates have been low. Therefore, when mortgage rates rise, the affect on home movers sentiment which, given the shortage of supply, would result in a marked slowdown in the rate of house price growth.

Shortage of Supply As I have mentioned in previous articles, the number of houses on the market in Huddersfield is at an all time low. One reason is the large number of buy to let landlords who have bought Huddersfield property over the past fifteen years. Unlike first time buyers who tend to move on after a few years, landlords tend to keep their properties long term, meaning there are less properties coming onto the market ... thus restricting supply and sales. In fact over the last four months, only 1,398 properties in the Kirklees Metropolitan Council area have changed hands and sold, compared to 1,584 in the same time frame in 2014, a not so insignificant drop of 11.74%. 

If you are planning on investing in the Huddersfield property market, or just want to know more, things to consider for a successful buy to let investment, one source of information is the Huddersfield Property Blog http://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/

Friday, 7 August 2015

Huddersfield – The 10 year Time Bomb on Home Ownership

Many people think the British obsession with owning your own home started with Thatcher in the early 1980’s, when she allowed council tenants to buy their council houses under the right to buy scheme. However, the growth actually started just after the Second World War. Looking at the country as a whole in 1951 30% of residential property was owner occupied then, every ten years that rose incrementally to 39% by 1961; 51% by 1971; 58% by 1981 and 68.07% by 2001 but after that, it dropped to 63.4% by 2011 and continues to drop today.

Young adults tend to start to think about settling down and moving out of the family home in their early-mid twenties.  After a couple of years, they will have a choice of either buying their first house (albeit with a mortgage) or decide to privately rent for the long term (because the Council House waiting list is measured in decades at the moment!). The ratio of people owning a house with a mortgage verses privately renting is an extremely important guide to what people are doing about their housing needs and what their attitude to renting vs buying is.  With that in mind, within the next ten years, I am predicting there will be more people renting privately in Huddersfield than own a property with a mortgage and that the British love affair of property ownership will fade as the decades roll on.

This is a really important change in the way we live, as I explained to a local Huddersfield landlord the other day, knowing when and where the demand of tenants is going to come from in the coming decade is just as important as knowing the supply side of the buy to let equation, in relation to the number of properties built in the town; Huddersfield property prices and Huddersfield rents.
In the Kirklees Council area as a whole there are 24,523 households that are privately rented via a landlord or letting agency verses 61,404 households that are owned with a mortgage, so my prediction appears to be outrageous. However, when we look deeper (as the devil is always in the detail), 30,378 of those 61,404 households are 35 to 49 year olds and 17,006 are households of 50 to 64 year olds. I would expect all the 50+ years to be paying their mortgage off as they enter retirement as I would with some of the people in their mid/late 40’s.

Meanwhile, at the other end, in the 25 to 34 age range (the age most people bought their first home in the 1970’s/80’s/90’s) only 10,662 of the 18,227 households occupied by those 25 to 34 year olds are owner occupiers with mortgages, because 7,565 households are privately rented. This means only 58.4% of 25 to 34 year olds have bought their house (with a mortgage). Twenty years ago, that would have a much higher percentage of homeowners (between 75% to 85%).

It can be seen that as the older generation pay their mortgages off as they start to get to retirement and the younger generation aren’t jumping on the property ladder like they were 20 or 30 years ago, the private rental sector will take up the slack as more and more people will want a roof over their head, but won’t buy one but rent one. With Local Authorities and Housing Associations not building houses anywhere near like the number of houses they were building in the 1950’s, 60’ and 70’s, the private landlord appears to have good demand for their rental properties for many decades to come.
This will create a polarisation in the housing market between those, mostly older, households who own outright and those, mostly younger, households who rent. Our housing market is very much turning into the European model. However, all is not lost, the younger generation will inherit their parents properties, which in turn will enable them to buy, albeit later in life.

If you are a landlord or thinking of become a landlord, and would like to read more articles like this and other information on the Huddersfield Property Market, then please visit the Huddersfield Property Blog  http://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/



Wednesday, 29 July 2015

George Osborne – The Huddersfield landlord’s friend?

George Osborne – The Huddersfield landlord’s friend?

Well the last few weeks has been rather hectic as Huddersfield landlords, some who use us to manage their properties and other landlords who just read our Huddersfield Property Blog, have been sending me emails or picking the phone up to me about the new rules on buy to let taxation announced in the recent budget. George Osborne confirmed in the recent summer budget that the tax relief given to landlords on mortgage interest payments, on their buy to let (BTL) properties, would be reduced over the coming years for higher rate income tax payers. The Chancellor said the tax relief that private buy to let landlords (who pay the higher rate of income tax) would change in 2017 from the current 45%/40% and would steadily reduce over the following four years to the existing 20% by 2020.
With 18.8% of residential property in Huddersfield being privately rented (as there are 12,973 privately rented properties in the town), these changes are potentially something that will not only affect most Huddersfield landlords, but also the tenants and the wider property market as a whole. The choice of rental properties could drop, especially at the top end of the market which could push up rents.

However, Huddersfield landlords could protect themselves by reassigning one or more rental properties into a company structure (e.g., a Limited Company, Partnership or Sole Trader) and by doing so, the total tax paid is greatly reduced, because a company only pays tax on the profit. Nonetheless, before everyone goes off setting up companies for their BTL portfolios, it must also be noted, if a sole trader firm is started, stamp duty needs to be paid, yet if the owner is in business with a partner, they could enjoy some stamp duty relief.  The biggest tax variation is Capital Gains Tax (CGT) where the tax bill will be much higher when you come to sell your portfolio. In essence, by going into business with your BTL properties, you will potentially have a modest stamp duty to pay when you start, but you will have a lot less monthly tax to pay, irrespective of the interest rate, but the CGT bill will be much higher when you come to sell ... as you can see, it is not a ‘get out of jail card’. Now it must be remembered, I am not a tax advisor, so you must take advice from a qualified person 

Those planning to purchase a BTL property will have to factor these new rules into their calculations, and this could affect the offers they are willing to make. However, I am not that concerned, as the scaremonger reports fail to see the fact that two out of three BTL properties that have been bought since 2007 have been purchased without the support of BTL mortgage. With those two thirds of landlords paying cash for the purchase of their rental properties, that means two thirds of landlords will be totally unaffected by the changes.

So what of the future? The British love their Bricks and Mortar, it’s an asset that they can touch and feel and has a 70 year track record of capital growth that has out stripped inflation. Buy to let will still be attractive to Huddersfield investors and let me explain why. If you invested £30,000 in Huddersfield property in September 1987, today it would be worth £111,533. If you had invested the same £30,000 in to the London Stock Market (the FTSE 100 to be exact), it would be only be worth £85,879 today, whilst Inflation would have taken the original £30,000 and pushed it up to £62,345.
It’s true some central London landlords relying solely on the tax breaks rather than high yields may be forced out of the market, but even those landlords could seek to recoup any losses by increasing rents. However, those landlords may leave the market and this could constrict the availability of rented houses even more than it is already, increasing rents and thus pushing yields even higher for landlords and BTL investors still in the market... thus attracting new landlords into the market because of those higher yields.

The reality is, there is too much demand and not enough supply of homes for people to live in in the town. Official figures show the population in Huddersfield is rising by 972 persons per year (i.e., demand rising), but only 361 properties are being built each year (i.e., supply is low). This sets up the Huddersfield (and UK) property market to continue to create strong and steady returns, irrespective of any tax loophole being there (or not as the case maybe).

If the demand is there, I am happy to organise an informal seminar with a local Huddersfield accountant one evening, whereby they can show you the options available and what might be best for you. Therefore, if you are interested in attending, please drop me an email chan.khangura@whitegates.co.uk and we will be able to get something organised very soon.

Huddersfield Landlord’s mortgages top £727 million!

The Brits can’t stop talking about property. The hot topic of discussion at the posh dinner parties of Birkby, Fixby and Clifton’s movers and shakers is the subject of the Huddersfield Property market, but in particular, buy to let. These people are buying up buy to let properties quicker than an ace Monopoly player .. or so it would seem if you read the Sunday papers. So is the buy to let market a sure fire way to make money?  Is it something everyone should be jumping into? Is it a sure fire way to make money? The answer is Yes and No to all those questions!

Firstly, the government gives tax breaks to landlords, as it allows the mortgage interest payments on a buy to let property to be tax deductible. Also, a landlord only has to flick through Rightmove or Zoopla, pick any property at random and agree a price. Then, find a modest deposit of 25% (often by remortgaging their own home) which for an average Huddersfield terraced house, would mean finding £23,309 for the deposit (as the average Huddersfield terraced house is currently worth £93,238) and borrow the rest with a low interest rate buy to let mortgage.  Finally, the landlord would rent out the property in a matter of hours for top dollar and live happily ever after, with the rent then covering the mortgage payments, with loads of money to spare and come retirement have a portfolio of property that would have quadrupled in value in fifteen years. Sounds wonderful – doesn’t it? Or does it???


Let us not forgot that the half of one per cent Bank of England base rate is artificially low. The international money markets can be fickle and if interest rates do rise quicker and higher than expected because of some unforeseen global economic situation, that monthly profit will soon turn into a loss as the mortgage will be more than the rent. Even though tenants are staying longer in their rental property, tenants still come and go and my guidance to landlords is they should allow for void periods, plus the maintenance costs of a rental property and of course, agents fees. .. all things that eat into that profit.

Interestingly, by my calculations, there are approximately 3,884 Huddersfield landlords owing in excess of £727 million in mortgages on those Huddersfield buy to let properties.  An impressive amount when you consider Huddersfield only has 0.364% of all the rental properties in the Country. It really does come down to a number of important factors going forward to ensure you are water tight for the future. A lot of my existing landlords are fixing their mortgage rates. One told me that the Metro Bank are currently offering a 5 year fixed BTL remortgage rate at 3.79% for 5 years (based on a 75% loan). I don’t give financial advice, so you must speak with a qualified mortgage advisor.. but that sounds very fair!

However, one thing I do know is that buy to let is a long term investment, it’s a ten, fifteen, twenty year plan and property prices will go down as well as up. You wouldn’t dream of investing in the stock market without advice, so why invest in the Huddersfield Property Market without advice? We give bespoke detailed advice to our landlords to enable them to spot trends in the Huddersfield Property Market before others, enabling them to buy better properties at better prices. For example, did you know that flats are selling for around 20% lower than 12 months ago in Huddersfield yet detached properties are selling for 33% more (with every other type in between). This means we can advise on which properties will go up in value better (or lose less if property prices drop), we can also advise which have lower voids and which properties have higher maintenance issues.

Information on the local property market and ability to process it is the strongest asset we can give you. As Lois Horowitz, the famous author says, ”Not having the information you need when you need it leaves you wanting. Not knowing where to look for that information leaves you powerless. In a society where information is king, none of us can afford that”. One place to find information on the Huddersfield Property Market is the Huddersfield Property Blog, where you will find many articles just like this http://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/

Monday, 13 July 2015

Are ‘would be’ Huddersfield homeowners warming to the idea of renting?

I was reading a report the other day produced by the Halifax, about the UK property market and why more and more of the younger generation seem to be renting rather than buying. I find it fascinating that over the last ten years, the British obsession of buying a house almost as soon as you left school, and the fact that if you rented you were seen as a second class citizen, has turned on its head to a point where the hopes and dreams to own a nice home will be replaced by the ambition simply to live in one.

In the latter half of the 20th Century, you left school, got a job, bought a small house and kept buying and selling property, constantly upgrading until eventually they carried you out in a box. However, the perceived shame and stigma of renting is no longer the case, as it seems that the British are now beginning to accept a lifetime of renting. This is a very important consideration for both Huddersfield homeowners and Huddersfield landlords as it will transform the way the Huddersfield property ladder looks in the future and I might ask whether or not it will exist at all for some people? The make up of households is one important factor, especially in the Huddersfield property market. The normal stereotypical married couple, two kids and dog of the 1970’s and 80’s has changed. More and more we have the need for larger houses where two families come together after divorces (+ kids) and need a property to house everyone through to an increase in the number of one person households.

Looking at the data for Huddersfield, of the 9,441 private rental properties in the Kirklees Council area, 38.52% of those rented properties are one person households  (3,637properties). However, when we compare the number of one person Huddersfield households who have bought their own property with a mortgage (ie therefore they are still in work), of the 44,798 owner occupied households in the area, only 3,667 of those properties are a one person household (ie 8.18%). Compared to a decade ago, this explosion in demand for decent high quality rental properties that one person households require has not been met with an increase in supply of such properties.  More and more I believe Huddersfield landlords need to consider this change in the make up of Huddersfield households, as I believe this could be an opportunity. As an aside, another interesting stat that raised an eyebrow was that 15.43% of those 9,441 rental properties (1,457 properties) are lone parents households as well. Again, another possible opportunity that Huddersfield landlords might want to consider in their future investment plans.

It is true that the Governments introduction in 2013 of the Help to Buy scheme, where first time buyers only needed a 5% deposit, changed the perception of peoples’ ability to buy without having to save ten’s of thousands of pounds for a deposit. However, it might surprise you, 95% mortgages were re-introduced within six months of the Credit Crunch in late 2009, so again it comes down to people’s own perception. Many youngsters think they won’t get a mortgage, so don’t even bother trying.

Coming back to the deposit, it’s still a fact that once you start renting it becomes that much harder to save for a deposit, regardless of the size. Interestingly, 7 out of 8 renters polled by the Halifax (86% to be exact) refuse to sacrifice the quality of accommodation they currently live in to reduce the amount of rent they pay in order to save for a deposit.  This is the crux and the real reason why people aren’t buying but renting... and why demand for renting will continue to grow in the future (ie good news for landlords). Huddersfield tenants can upgrade the quality and size of the property they live in for a minimal rent increase. The average rent of a two bed property in Huddersfield is £486pm, but a three bed is only £84pm more at £570pm, whilst the average four bed rent is £698pm. If you had to make that jump when buying, the monthly mortgage payments would be stratospherically more than that!  Without any social pressure and better quality rental properties compared to a decade ago, we will become a nation of renters within the next generation, as the UK is becoming more like Europe, where renting is ‘the norm’. Who is going to supply all these properties to rent? Landlords! Whether you are an existing landlord looking to grow your portfolio or looking to become a ‘first time landlord’, my thoughts are take advice from as many people as possible. However, as the majority of landlords buy their buy to let properties in the same town they live, you will need specific advice about Huddersfield itself. One place for such advice and opinion is the Huddersfield Property Blog http://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/

The ‘Liquorice Allsorts’ Huddersfield Property market

Despite the UK economy heading in the right direction with record low mortgage rates and unemployment  figures dropping,  the rate of property prices rising in Huddersfield have tempered since the start of the year. This slow but sure downward trend in the rate of growth has been in evidence since mid-2014.  Property value increases continue to outpace the growth in salaries, however the gap is closing, helped by a lift in salaries over the last 6 months.  Property values in the Yorkshire region as a whole are 1.1% higher than a year ago.  Compare this to the neighbouring regions of the East Midlands at 2.9% higher and North West at 3.4%, the majority of the country continue to see annual house price gains - the exception being Wales which recorded a slight  decline of -0.6%.

Even with the tempering in house price inflation, it does not necessarily change my outlook that property prices are likely to be firmer over the second half of 2015 amid heightening activity in the Huddersfield property market.  As stated in a previous article, there is a current shortage of properties on the market, restricting supply, which in turn will provide stability and support to Huddersfield property prices. Therefore, my overall opinion is that Huddersfield property prices will rise by 3% over 2015 and roughly the same in 2016.

Property investment is a long term business.  Buying the right sort of property is vital. I have recently been speaking with a number of Huddersfield landlords about the importance of a balanced portfolio, when buying and renting out property. The balance between buying properties that offer good monthly returns (high yields) but quite often offer poor capital growth (i.e. they don't increase in value that much over the years compared with the average) verses properties that do go up in value quicker but often offer a lower yield.  So, what type of properties have performed best over the last few years in Huddersfield, especially in terms of their capital growth?

When comparing  what the average price of detached, semi detached, terraced and flats were selling for back at the start of the Millennium to the present.  The results are quite remarkably different, almost like a bag of Liquorice Allsorts, as the different types of property have performed poles apart over the last 15 years:


      • Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £101,882 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Huddersfield for £320,857 a rise of 215%

      •    Semi -Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £53,773 and so far in 2015, they            have been selling on average in Huddersfield for £136,230 a rise of 153%            

      • Terraced Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £30,770 and so far in 2015, they have been    selling on average in Huddersfield for £93,238 a rise of 203%

      • Flats and Apartments in 2000 were selling on average for £34,233 and so far in 2015, they have        been selling on average in Huddersfield for £77,500 a rise of 126%



Moving forward, what should new and existing buy to let landlords do with this information?  Well, the questions I seem to be asked on an almost daily basis by landlords are:


·         “Should I sell my property in Huddersfield?”
·         “Is the time right to buy another buy to let property in Huddersfield and if not Huddersfield, where?”
·         “Are there any property bargains out there in Huddersfield to be had?”

Many other Huddersfield landlords, who are with both us and other  Huddersfield letting agents, like to pop in for a coffee,  pick up the phone or email us to  discuss the Huddersfield property market, how Huddersfield compares with its closest rivals (Leeds, Keighley and Bradford), and hopefully answer the three questions above.  I don’t bite, I don’t do hard sell, I will just give you my honest and straight talking opinion and look forward to hearing from you.