Huddersfield Homeowners Are Only Moving
Every 19.5 Years (part 2)
In the
credit crunch of 2008/9 the rate of home moving plunged to its lowest level
ever. In 2009 the rate at which a typical house would change hands slumped to
only once every 29 years. The biggest reason being that confidence was low and
many homeowners didn’t want to sell their home as Huddersfield property prices
plunged after the onset of the financial crisis in 2008. However, since 2009,
the rate of home moving has increased (see the table and graph below), meaning today:
The average period of time between home
moves in
Huddersfield is now 19.5 years.
This is an increase of 49.01 per
cent between the credit crunch fallout year of 2009 and today, but still it is
a 35.66 per cent drop in moves by homeowners, compared to 15 years ago (The
Noughties).
Average
Length of Time (In Years) between Home Moves in Huddersfield
and
the Kirklees Metropolitan Borough Council Area
|
||||||||||
1995
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
20.96
|
19.15
|
16.94
|
17.30
|
16.09
|
16.10
|
13.52
|
12.49
|
12.17
|
12.86
|
14.66
|
|
||||||||||
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
2016
|
11.79
|
12.22
|
23.59
|
28.93
|
28.35
|
28.38
|
27.15
|
24.60
|
20.99
|
20.48
|
19.42
|
So why aren’t Huddersfield homeowners moving as much as they did
in the Noughties?
The causes
of the current state of play are numerous. In last weeks article I talked about
how ‘real’ incomes and savings had been dropping. Another issue is the long-term
failure in the number of properties being built. Only a few weeks ago in the
blog, I was discussing the draconian planning rules meaning house builders
struggle to locate building land to actually build on.
Back in the
1960’s and 1970’s, as a country, we were building on average 300,000 and
350,000 households a year. The Barker Review a few years ago said that for the
UK to stand still and keep up with housing demand (through immigration, people
living longer, a just under 50% increase in the number of households with a
single person since the 1980’s and family makeup (i.e. divorce makes one household now two)) we needed to build
240,000 households a year. Over the last few years, we have only been building
between 135,000 and 150,000 households a year.
Finally, as
the UK Population gets older, there is no getting away from the fact that a maturing
population is a less mobile one.
So, what
does this mean for Huddersfield homeowners and landlords?
Well, if Huddersfield
people are less inclined to move or find it hard to sell a property or acquire
a new one, they are probably less likely to move to an improved job or a more prosperous
part of the UK.
Many of the
older generation in Huddersfield are stuck in property that is simply too big
for their needs. The fact is that, in Huddersfield and Kirklees, more than four
out of every ten (or 41.9 per cent) owned houses has two or more spare bedrooms;
or to be more exact ...
48,962 of the 116,973 owned households in the Kirklees
area have two or more spare bedrooms.
So, as their
children and grandchildren struggle to move up the housing ladder, with those
young families bursting at the seams in homes too small for them i.e. overcrowding, we have a severe case
of under-occupation with the older
generation - grandparents staying put in their bigger homes, with a profusion
of spare bedrooms.
Regrettably,
I cannot see how the rate of properties being sold will rise any time soon. Many
commentators have suggested the Government should give tax breaks to allow the
older generation to downsize, yet in a recent White Paper on housing published
just weeks before the General Election, there was no reference of any thoughtful
and detailed policies to inspire or support them to do so.
This means that
there could be an opportunity for Huddersfield buy to let landlords to secure
larger properties to rent out, as the demand for them will surely grow over the
coming years. As for homeowners; well those in the lower and middle Huddersfield
market will find it a balanced sellers/buyers market, but will find it slightly
more a buyers market in the upper price bands.
Interesting
times ahead!
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