I recently
read a report by the Yorkshire Building Society that 54% of the country has seen
wages (salaries) rise faster than property prices in the last 10 years. The
report said that in the Midlands and North, salaries
had outperformed property prices since 2007, whilst in other parts of the UK, especially in the South, the opposite has
happened and property prices have outperformed salaries quite
noticeably.
As regular readers of my blog know, I
always like to find out what has actually happened locally in Huddersfield. To
talk of North and South is not specific enough for me. Therefore, to start, I
looked at what has happened to salaries locally since 2007. Looking at the
Office of National Statistics (ONS) data for Kirklees Metropolitan Borough
Council, some interesting figures came out...
|
Kirklees
|
Yorkshire & Humber
|
Nationally
|
2007
|
£23,540
|
£22,131
|
£23,920
|
2008
|
£24,118
|
£23,104
|
£24,960
|
2009
|
£23,639
|
£23,535
|
£25,506
|
2010
|
£24,684
|
£24,050
|
£26,088
|
2011
|
£24,123
|
£24,008
|
£26,010
|
2012
|
£24,882
|
£24,190
|
£26,432
|
2013
|
£25,386
|
£24,913
|
£26,931
|
2014
|
£24,944
|
£24,908
|
£27,097
|
2015
|
£25,002
|
£24,991
|
£27,508
|
2016
|
£25,735
|
£25,912
|
£28,132
|
Salaries in Kirklees have risen by
9.32% since 2007 (although it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster ride to get
there!) - interesting when you compare that with what has happened to salaries
regionally (an increase of 17.08%) and nationally, an increase of 17.61%.
Next, I needed to find what had
happened to property prices locally over the same time frame of 2007 and today.
Net
property values in Kirklees are 2.65% higher than they were in Spring 2007 (not
forgetting they did dip in 2008 and 2009). Therefore...
Wages in the
Huddersfield area have increased at a higher rate than property values to the
tune of 6.67% ... meaning, Huddersfield
is in line with the regional trend
All this is important, as the
relationship between salaries and property values is the basis on how
affordable property is to first (and second, third etc.) time buyers. It is also vitally relevant for Huddersfield landlords,
as they need to be aware of this when making their buy-to-let plans for the
future. If more Huddersfield people are buying, then demand for Huddersfield
rental properties will drop (and vice versa).
As I have discussed in a few articles
in my blog recently, this issue of ‘property-affordability’ is a great
bellwether to the future direction of the Huddersfield property market. Now of
course, it isn’t as simple as comparing salaries and property prices, as that
measurement disregards issues such as low mortgage rates and the diminishing
proportion of disposable income that is spent on mortgage repayments.
On the face of it, the change between 2007 and 2017 in terms of the
‘property-affordability’ hasn’t been that
great. However, look back another 10 years to 1997, and that tells a completely
different story. Nationally, the affordability of property more than halved
between 1997 and today. In 1997, house prices were on average 3.5 times
workers’ annual wages, whereas in 2016 workers could typically expect to spend
around 7.7 times annual wages on purchasing a home.
The issue of a lack of
homeownership has its roots in the 1980’s and 1990’s. It’s quite hard as a
tenant to pay your rent and save money for a deposit at the same time, meaning
for many Huddersfield people, home ownership isn't a realistic goal. Earlier in
the year, the Tories released proposals to combat the country’s 'broken'
housing market, setting out plans to make renting more affordable, while increasing
the security of rental deals and threatening to bring tougher legal action to
cases involving bad landlords.
This is all great news for
Huddersfield tenants and decent law-abiding Huddersfield landlords (and
indirectly owner occupier homeowners). Whatever has happened to salaries or
property prices in Huddersfield in the last 10 (or 20) years ... the demand for
decent high-quality rental property keeps growing. If you want a chat about
where the Huddersfield property market is going – please read my other blog
posts on https://huddersfieldproperty.blogspot.co.uk/ or drop me note via email, like many
Huddersfield landlords are doing.
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